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E-commerce Development 2025: Stabilization After the Boom – How to Successfully Shape B2C Online Retail

E-commerce Development 2025: Stabilization After the Boom – How to Successfully Shape B2C Online Retail

B2C e-commerce development has reached a phase of consolidation after an enormous Corona boom. Which product groups are still growing, and which are losing? We analyze the current figures from the HDE Online Monitor 2024 for you and provide concrete recommendations for action for retailers.

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By
  • E-Commerce
  • Development

Consolidation at a High Level: Fact Check

In 2023, German B2C online retail according to HDE/IFH Köln only increased by 1.0% to a total of €85.4 billion – about 44% above the pre-Corona level of 2019. The online share of retail sales stagnated at 13.2%.

This illustrates a phase of consolidation, where the market is stabilizing on a high plateau and retracting after the exponential growth spurts.

Tip: Track the monthly sales figures for your segment and establish benchmarks to immediately identify deviations.

Losing Sectors at a Glance

The once dominant Consumer Electronics (CE) category dropped by 2.5% in 2023. Home & Furnishings also lost 2.7%, and DIY & Garden even 2.9%.

Brick-and-mortar retailers were able to gain ground here – durable products are again preferred to be examined and bought locally.

Tip: Analyze your inventory and focus on fast-moving products with a high turnover rate.

Winning Sectors with Potential

FMCG (Food, Drugstore) grew by 8.7% – fast-moving consumer goods with a high repurchase rate continue to boom online.

Health & Wellness grew by 3.7%, Jewelry & Watches by 3.6%, Leisure & Hobby by 2.1%, Office & Stationery by 1.0%, and Fashion & Accessories remained stable (+0.3%).

Tip: Develop product bundles or subscription models for frequently purchased items to increase Customer Lifetime Value.

Marketplaces and Private Retail in a Duopoly

Marketplaces accounted for 54% of online retail in 2023, with Amazon alone holding 43% (including its own retail, 60%).

Own shops and stationary retail are slightly losing ground but remain important for brand building and margin protection.

Tip: Focus on an Omnichannel strategy with a combined marketplace and shop presence, as well as stationary touchpoints.

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Mobile Commerce Remains a Driver

55% of all online revenue in 2023 was generated via smartphones (2020: 47%). A slow or cluttered mobile experience leads to high checkout abandonment rates.

Mobile UX, fast load times, and simplified payment processes must be optimized.

Tip: Conduct regular mobile usability tests and optimize load times to under 2 seconds.

Omnichannel Strategies: Interlinking Online and Offline

Click & Collect, virtual showrooms, and in-store digitalization create seamless customer experiences.

The connection of online and offline data enables personalized consultations and promotions on site.

Tip: Promote Click & Collect offers digitally and in the retail store to strengthen both channels.

Personalization through AI: Addressing Customers Individually

AI-based recommendation engines analyze buying behavior in real time and provide suitable product recommendations.

Dynamic pricing can optimize margins and specifically promote sales.

Tip: Use machine learning plugins or APIs to automate personalized email campaigns and upselling mechanisms.

Sustainability as a Competitive Advantage

Environmentally friendly packaging, CO₂-neutral shipping, and transparent supply chains are becoming crucial purchasing criteria.

Sustainability certificates and labels strengthen trust and differentiate your brand.

Tip: Implement a sustainability seal and visibly document all measures on your website.

Subscription Models and Recurring Revenues

Subscriptions for consumer goods ensure predictable revenues and stable customer loyalty.

Flexibility in term and delivery interval reduces cancellations and increases customer loyalty.

Tip: Offer different subscription models with clear price and cancellation transparency.

Digitalization for Small and Medium-Sized Businesses: How to Get Started Successfully

Modular ERP, CRM, and accounting systems automate processes and relieve your team.

Cloud-based solutions offer scalability without high initial investments – perfect for SMEs.

Tip: Start with a process analysis and choose a system with easy onboarding.

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Where do the figures for e-commerce development come from?

All values are based on the Online Monitor 2024 by IFH Köln on behalf of the German Retail Federation (HDE).

Which product group is currently growing the strongest?

FMCG products like food and drugstore items, with a plus of 8.7%, were the frontrunners in 2023.

How important are own shops compared to marketplaces?

Marketplaces hold 54% market share, with Amazon reaching 60% including its own retail. Own shops are essential for brand building and margins.

What is the mobile share in German e-commerce?

55% of all online revenue in 2023 was generated via smartphones, a clear mobile-first trend.

What are the most important success factors for 2025?

Price transparency, sustainability, target-group-specific assortments, social commerce, and excellent mobile usability.

How can we help you?
How can we help you?

Our services cover all areas of digital communication.

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